FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Predictions Prior to Week 17
As Week 17 approaches, FiveThirtyEight’s NFL forecasts have become increasingly certain.
Joe Camporeale, Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers are sitting at the top of the NFC at 12-3 heading into Week 17 with an 89% chance of earning a first-round bye and an ability to clinch the NFC by winning their next 2 games against Minnesota and Detroit. FiveThirtyEight currently predicts that they have a 24% chance to win the Super Bowl.
Charlie Riedel / Associated Press
Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs lead the AFC 11-4 with a 73% chance of winning a first-round bye with 2 wins or a win and a Titans loss. FiveThirtyEight predicts that they have a 27% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
The teams capable of making the playoffs are:
*(not currently in a position to make the playoffs)
Packers (Clinched) Chiefs (Clinched)
Buccaneers (Clinched) Titans
Rams (Clinched) Colts
Cowboys (Clinched) Bills
Cardinals (Clinched) Patriots